Here are the demographics of this poll. A little heads up before we see the full results for the Dems and the General Election. But, this sample doesn't look too bad. Might underestimate Conservatives by a hair, but besides that it is better than we have seen anyone publish in a while
I have compiled here a list of Democrats that could feasibly be viable should the Democrats need to seek another non-Clinton alternative.
There are many more that could consider but I don't see them as viable in either a primary or a general election against much of anyone. All of these candidates would really only be viable if Clinton dropped out and Biden didn't enter the race. The take away here is that the Democrats bench isn't nearly as short as the media keeps reporting. The difference is that these Democrats are just not interested in running. Many of them are not interested, in part, due to the Candidacy of Hillary Clinton. If she were not running, I would guarantee at least one of these individuals would be in the race at this point.
All I can say is: are they serious or is this supposed to be some sort of joke? It's a much older and more Republican sample. This is why Ben Carson now holds a 0.8% advantage in my current aggregate. Clinton still leads all other tracked GOP candidates.
We finally got a new poll for the Louisiana Gubernatorial race. Unfortunately, it is a poll paid for by "Gumbo PAC." The PAC is a "non-partisan" PAC trying to elect "anyone but Vitter. So, take this with a grain of salt. Well, and then a bucket of salt on top of that. We don't have much other data here so it's better than nothing. It does move the needle from (in the run-off) Vitter winning by 22.7% and a roughly 100% probability of victory to a 8.4% margin and a 62% probability. Hopefully, this will spur more firms to jump in and poll this race. Until then, it is still a heavy GOP favorite, but prospects for Democrats are actually better than they were looking a few months ago.
Fox News is saying that the electorate next year will be more Republican than in any year since we have had exit polling data. This data goes back through 1972.
Then, of course, we have this really suspicious "for reference" given in conjunction with questions about Former Secretary Hillary Clinton.
But, despite all of that, Clinton has a larger lead in the Democratic primary than she had in today's Bloomberg/Selzer poll as well as a 4% lead over Donald Trump. That is an increase from the 2% lead over Trump she had in their last poll (which had an electorate, while still too Republican, 5% more Democratic) from Fox.
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