I am projecting the referendum to fail now by 4.10% ±3.28%. As I mentioned yesterday, this is more likely 4.10% -1.64%/+3.28%. The last two numbers on my chart are an extrapolated final vote. I created a spread where there are no undecideds and the same 4.10% margin. I really see very little chance of this succeeding tomorrow. I see the possible margin to even be (possibly) as high as 7.38%.
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