This post introduces my new format for my race margin/probability changes. The "trend arrow" is now a solid color block. This should help make the page easier to read. The color block will be a solid color unless the race changes party for the particular update. Today, since the party shifts, the block is a gradient from red to blue.
*This post has been updated to include the new Michigan Senate and Massachusetts Governor*
On Friday we will have a new KS poll from Gravis. I just saw a couple of the top lines from that poll. Bad news for Brownback and Roberts. On Saturday, they will release a new poll from WI. They think the results may have been skewed because the Milwaukee response rate was unusually high. Per Gravis: they do not weight results. Therefore, if result rates are higher than normal: that region is over represented in the results.