In Iowa, apparently Rasmussen is seeing a closer race than everyone else is for Governor. They show the Democrat within 6 points. This is almost as odd of a result as last week's Quinnipiac polls in Iowa and Colorado. Hopefully the polling in these two states will level off so we can get a better look at where things stand.
A partisan (R) poll out of Arizona has found a 6 point lead for the Republican running for Governor. While this is only 5-6 points off from the previous 3 polls in this race; this doesn't give us much to say this this race has changed a whole lot.
The Hawaii Governor's race has flipped back to blue for the first time this cycle in my projections. Still appears to be a close race out there for Governor despite the not so competitive Senate race.
The overall prob ability for Senate control changed, but it still rounds to 53%. (actually changed by about a half point) To cancel out statistical noise, I am rounding these numbers to the nearest percent.
In the next few days, I will be implementing a new feature on my site that will allow you to run senate simulations based upon my probabilities as well as a simulation that will allow you to enter your own probabilities. The first of which will be a 10,000 (I run 50,000, but I am cutting that to 10,000 for the sake of load times on the site) simulation run while the second will just be a single election. There will be more on this later on this week.
New Hampshire Governor
New Hampshire Senate
North Carolina Senate