The Survey USA poll for Georgia has Deal breaking out to his biggest lead since the July YouGov poll. This ties his highest polling numbers so far this cycle. While an outlier, this is matches a series of polls that show a movement back towards Deal. The recent polls are D +.1%, R +4%, and R +9%. The previous polls showed a consistent few point lead for Carter. This race still averages well within the MoE.
The North Carolina poll continues to show a close race. I now have this race within a point. It has been trending away from Hagen, though she does still cling to a slim lead.
The Kansas poll confirms basically all polling (except the strange YouGov poll from July) showing Brownback is serious trouble of losing reelection, and Pat Roberts losing quite a bit of ground in the Senate race. The last four Governor polls here have been D +2, D +10, R +12, D +8. You can likely guess which one is the YouGov poll. The Democratic lead in the last poll goes up to D +5 without the third party candidate.
The Kansas Senate race has become closer and closer. The last four polls there are R +7, R +4, R +16, R +3. Again, the YouGov poll is the strange one of the group. I still have Roberts with a reasonable 6.2% cousin, but he needs to stop losing ground. If the opposition to Roberts is unified, he beats Taylor (the Democratic nominee) by 4 points. While this is still a long shot for Democrats, it is still their 3rd best pick-up opportunity.