The big news today is Arkansas flipping towards Cotton. While this race is still a statistical tie, it does lean red at the moment. Unfortunately, this is an internal Cotton poll without much data released with it. While, I did include it, it is weighted lower based on that uncertainty. Due to it's recency, however, it does comprise 20% of my projected result for that race. Over half of the number is comprised of polls in the last four weeks, all of which show Cotton ahead.
Not sure what happened over at Rasmussen today. We were supposed to see a poll for the Nevada Gubernatorial race around lunch time. If that poll is for some reason thrown out later this evening, I will just include it for tomorrow.
I now have the GOP picking up 4 seats in the Senate. The GOP's potential seat gain is between 2 and 9. For the Gubernatorial outlook, I have the outcomes between R +2 and D +2. (I took all races withing 2% and placed them in GOP column, and then the DEM column.)
Not sure what happened over at Rasmussen today. We were supposed to see a poll for the Nevada Gubernatorial race around lunch time. If that poll is for some reason thrown out later this evening, I will just include it for tomorrow.
I now have the GOP picking up 4 seats in the Senate. The GOP's potential seat gain is between 2 and 9. For the Gubernatorial outlook, I have the outcomes between R +2 and D +2. (I took all races withing 2% and placed them in GOP column, and then the DEM column.)
| D +.6% D +30% D +1.1% | -> -> -> | D +1.2% D +32.4% R +.5% |
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