• Blog
  • Archive
    • President 2016
    • Senate 2016
    • 2015 >
      • Gubernatorial 2015
    • 2014 >
      • Senate 2014
      • Gubernatorial 2014
  • Resources
  • Blog
  • Archive
    • President 2016
    • Senate 2016
    • 2015 >
      • Gubernatorial 2015
    • 2014 >
      • Senate 2014
      • Gubernatorial 2014
  • Resources

June 18th-Arkansas goes red.  

6/18/2014

 
The big news today is Arkansas flipping towards Cotton.  While this race is still a statistical tie, it does lean red at the moment.  Unfortunately, this is an internal Cotton poll without much data released with it.  While, I did include it, it is weighted lower based on that uncertainty.  Due to it's recency, however, it does comprise 20% of my projected result for that race.  Over half of the number is comprised of polls in the last four weeks, all of which show Cotton ahead. 

Not sure what happened over at Rasmussen today.  We were supposed to see a poll for the Nevada Gubernatorial race around lunch time.  If that poll is for some reason thrown out later this evening, I will just include it for tomorrow. 

I now have the GOP picking up 4 seats in the Senate.  The GOP's potential seat gain is between 2 and 9.   For the Gubernatorial outlook, I have the outcomes between R +2 and D +2. 
(I took all races withing 2% and placed them in GOP column, and then the DEM column.) 
Iowa Senate
New York Governor

Arkansas Senate
D +.6%
D +30%

D +1.1%
->
->

->
D +1.2%
D +32.4%

R +.5%

Comments are closed.
    Tweets by @ActorAaronBooth
    Any financial help to offset the costs of running this site is always appreciated.

    Archives

    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    July 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015
    April 2015
    March 2015
    February 2015
    January 2015
    December 2014
    November 2014
    October 2014
    September 2014
    August 2014
    July 2014
    June 2014
    May 2014

    RSS Feed

News tips/Campaign Press Releases and such can be sent to: Press (at) ElectoralReports.com
© Aaron Booth
✕