The problem still with Arkansas is the lack of non-partisan polling. 3 of the last 4 polls going back to May are from partisan (specifically Republican) polling firms. While these firms vary in their track record (or lack-there-of), the should be taken with a grain of salt. The race became a hair closer because this poll knocked off an earlier poll from February from the same firm and took some weight from previous partisan polls in this race. The trend in the Generic polling also plays a roll in the minor rounding here. If we take out all partisan polling in this race (from both Republicans and Democrats): Pryor actually has a couple point lead over Cotton.
PPP released the rest of it's Louisiana data from last week's poll. Most notably, Clinton beats Jindal in a head to head race. While a draw in the polls overall here for Clinton seems less than likely; given the national polling strength of Clinton, this isn't beyond the realm of possibilities. I am still putting Louisiana as a preliminary moderate GOP victory in 2016. PPP is the only firm thus far to poll the 2016 Louisiana presidential election. The have done so four times now since the beginning of 2013 and Clinton has run within the margin of error across the board in all of those polls. This poll is a shift towards Clinton, but is still not significant enough at this point to make much of a difference. The GOP should still feel very good about their chances in this red state for 2016.
The Survey USA poll also polls the 2016 race in Florida. Clinton beats Bush, Rubio, and Paul while Biden loses to all three. Both Democrats do the best against Rubio. In his home state, Rubio's 2016 chances seem very small. This polls seems to be right on track with national polling as well as previous 2016 Florida polls. Therefore, these results give me more confidence in the poll showing Scott with a lead in the Florida Gubernatorial race.