The surprise in polling today (out of the unexpected large number of it) was a Survey USA poll out of South Dakota. In the 4-way race, the Democrat trails the Republican (stuck at 39% as he has been throughout August when surveyed by PPP) by 11 points. When Pressler is removed (former Republican, running as an independent), the race tightens to a two-point contest of 44-42. Oddly enough, without a second Republican in the race, Democrats bring the race all the way up to within the MoE. As I have said before, the candidacy of Larry Pressler, gums up the works in South Dakota.
We got our weekly numbers from PPP. Michigan and Florida remain basically the same as they did before today. We also have a Survey USA/WFLA-TV poll that gives Scott a 1-point edge. The big difference between these polls is that Scott loses less to the libertarian in the Survey USA/WFLA-TV poll than he does in PPP. The top-lines for both Crist and Scott are within the MoE of the Survey USA poll. Therefore, you cannot actually say that these results are much of a change with 100% certainty. Since May, this race has fluctuated (for the most part) within the same MoE. We have yet to see either of the candidates break out of the statistical toss-up range yet.
We also got the Gubernatorial half of the Iowa Loras poll from yesterday. This poll gives the GOP incumbent a larger margin of victory than previous polling. Therefore, the Braley lead becomes more significant i the light of the rest of the poll.
The Hagan campaign released an internal poll today that showed with a 3-point advantage. Earlier, the same firm produced another Hagan internal that showed a tied race. The interesting point here is that the demographics of the poll actually lean more to the right than any non-internal or non-partisan polls are showing at this point. So, while this is still a MoE lead, you cannot argue demographics.
Finally, Rasmussen released a Maine Governor poll which confirmed previous averages.
Next week, PPP is releasing polls from Kansas and North Carolina. Tomorrow (Wednesday), Quinnipiac is releasing a new Connecticut Gubernatorial poll. After today, we will also have final candidates in a few races, which will change numbers in at leads the NH Gubernatorial by a slight bit.